2023 UFC betting trends: Over was the only profitable broadly covered market in the ratified 520-fight season at 296-208-16 for +14.02 units and +2.7% ROI.
2023 UFC Betting Trends at a Glance
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 341-163-16 | -9.12 | -1.8% |
| Underdogs | 163-341-16 | -58.07 | -11.2% |
| Over | 296-208-16 | +14.02 | +2.7% |
| Under | 208-296-16 | -90.36 | -17.4% |
| Goes Distance | 242-262-16 | -6.79 | -1.3% |
| No Distance | 262-242-16 | -41.57 | -8.0% |
Over produced the only positive promotion-wide return in 2023. It went 296-208-16 for +14.02 units and +2.7% ROI.
Goes Distance finished closest to break-even among the remaining broadly covered markets at 242-262-16 for -6.79 units and -1.3% ROI.
The 2023 Results Cover the Full Ratified Season
Moneyline, Over/Under and distance results are calculated across all 520 ratified 2023 UFC fights. Every row is approved for market-level use, every O/U line is marked genuine and line-level safe, and no 2023 row is quarantined.
Within that cohort, Overs are 296-208-16 for +14.02 units and +2.7% ROI. Unders are 208-296-16 for -90.36 units and -17.4% ROI.
Best 2023 UFC Betting Trends by Division
| Division | Top 2023 Trend | Record | Units | ROI | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women’s Flyweight | Underdogs | 16-16-1 | +16.06 | +48.7% | 33 |
| Heavyweight | Goes Distance | 15-19-1 | +10.46 | +29.9% | 35 |
| Women’s Bantamweight | Goes Distance | 13-4-1 | +4.64 | +25.8% | 18 |
| Light Heavyweight | Goes Distance | 15-18-2 | +8.31 | +23.7% | 35 |
| Middleweight | No Distance | 36-16-1 | +10.14 | +19.1% | 53 |
| Welterweight | Over | 35-23-1 | +7.06 | +12.0% | 59 |
The table shows the six strongest division-level returns. Each division was ranked by its strongest full-sample market with at least 10 graded fights.
Women’s Flyweight Underdogs Led the Division Results
Women’s Flyweight underdogs produced the strongest division-level return in the 2023 sample. They went 16-16-1 for +16.06 units and +48.7% ROI across 33 graded fights.
Heavyweight Goes Distance followed at 15-19-1 for +10.46 units and +29.9% ROI. Women’s Bantamweight Goes Distance, Light Heavyweight Goes Distance, Middleweight No Distance and Welterweight Over completed the top six.
Fights Outside the Current Division Pages Remain in the Annual Total
The 520-fight population contains 31 fights outside the 11 current division pages: 23 men’s catchweight bouts, 4 women’s catchweight bouts and 4 women’s featherweight bouts. They remain in the annual totals and are not reassigned to another division.
2023 UFC Betting Trends Summary
Over was the only profitable broadly covered promotion-wide market in 2023. The division results were more varied, led by Women’s Flyweight underdogs and several strong Goes Distance samples.
Analysis Period: January 1 through December 31, 2023
520 completed UFC fights across 43 event dates • 489 fights in the 11 current division pages • 31 catchweight or women’s featherweight fights
ROI uses only market-specific rows whose verified-use control is true. Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Combat Odds 