UFC Light Heavyweight betting trends: No Distance leads the certified 2022-2026 market-specific sample at 105-54-4 for +8.45 units and +5.2% ROI across 163 graded bets.
Top Performer: No Distance
105-54-4 across 163 graded Light Heavyweight bets
Moneyline Performance Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 100-60-6 | -13.85 | -8.3% | 166 | 100.0% |
| Underdogs | 60-100-6 | -17.75 | -10.7% | 166 | 100.0% |
Favorites are 100-60-6 for -13.85 units and -8.3% ROI. Underdogs are 60-100-6 for -17.75 units and -10.7% ROI.
Proposition Betting Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 73-70-4 | +1.38 | +0.9% | 147 | 88.6% |
| Under | 70-73-4 | -11.13 | -7.6% | 147 | 88.6% |
| Goes Distance | 54-105-4 | +1.18 | +0.7% | 163 | 98.2% |
| No Distance | 105-54-4 | +8.45 | +5.2% | 163 | 98.2% |
No Distance is the strongest cumulative result at 105-54-4 for +8.45 units and +5.2% ROI. Over ranks second at +0.9% ROI across 147 graded bets.
Coverage is market-specific. A fight is counted only when the promoted canonical marks that market approved for use; missing prices are not inferred or substituted.
Light Heavyweight Betting Trends by Year
| Year | Favorite ROI | Dog ROI | Over ROI | Under ROI | Distance ROI | No Distance ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | +5.2% (35) | -21.4% (35) | -34.7% (35) | +20.5% (35) | -28.8% (35) | +9.8% (35) |
| 2023 | -4.0% (35) | -13.5% (35) | +21.2% (35) | -27.5% (35) | +23.7% (35) | -18.1% (35) |
| 2024 | -14.4% (33) | -42.6% (33) | +13.5% (33) | -17.7% (33) | +0.4% (33) | +3.3% (33) |
| 2025 | -17.5% (39) | +25.6% (39) | -0.5% (39) | -3.5% (39) | +23.4% (39) | -10.3% (39) |
| 2026 YTD | -11.2% (24) | -6.1% (24) | +37.4% (5) | -29.4% (5) | -30.1% (21) | +68.1% (21) |
The cumulative division population contains 166 completed fights from 2022 through July 25, 2026: 35 in 2022 • 35 in 2023 • 33 in 2024 • 39 in 2025 • 24 in 2026 through July 25. The number in parentheses beside each yearly ROI is the market-specific eligible sample.
Performance Summary
The top cumulative UFC Light Heavyweight market is No Distance: 105-54-4 for +8.45 units and +5.2% ROI. The second-highest displayed return is Over at +0.9% ROI.
Analysis Period: January 1, 2022 through July 25, 2026
166 completed UFC Light Heavyweight fights • 35 in 2022 • 35 in 2023 • 33 in 2024 • 39 in 2025 • 24 in 2026 through July 25
ROI uses only market-specific rows whose verified-use control is true. Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Combat Odds 