RIZIN Landmark 15 Results and Closing Odds

RIZIN Landmark 15 Results and Closing Odds: RIZIN Landmark 15 went down on July 18, 2026 in Hiroshima, with favorites dominating the 11-fight betting-eligible MMA card. Favorites finished 10-1 for +3.61 units and +32.8% ROI, while the Under went 7-4 for +6.51 units and +59.2% ROI.

Danny Sabatello closed as the -560 favorite and stopped Jinnosuke Kashimura by third-round KO. Karshyga Dautbek, the biggest favorite on the card at -670, stopped Kyohei Hagiwara in the first round. The only underdog to win was Shoji Maruyama, who cashed at +160 with a decision over Genji Umeno.

RIZIN Landmark 15 Results and Betting Trends

RIZIN Landmark 15	Record	Profit	ROI
Favorites	10-1	+3.61u	+32.8%
Underdogs	1-10	-8.40u	-76.4%
Over	4-7	-5.18u	-47.1%
Under	7-4	+6.51u	+59.2%
Coin-Flip Favorites	2-0	+1.38u	+69.1%
Coin-Flip Underdogs	0-2	-2.00u	-100.0%
Fight Goes Distance	3-8	N/A	N/A
Fight Does Not Go Distance	8-3	N/A	N/A

The Under was the most profitable broad market on the card, returning +6.51 units despite winning only seven of 11 fights. Favorites were nearly as strong, with 10 winners producing +3.61 units. Distance prices were not stored in the current RIZIN results database, so the 3-8 and 8-3 distance records are listed without fabricated profit figures.

2026 RIZIN Betting Trends After Landmark 15

2026 Market	Record	Units	ROI
Favorites	34-17	-1.76u	-3.4%
Underdogs	17-34	-5.32u	-10.4%
Over	28-23	-8.05u	-15.8%
Under	23-28	-5.81u	-11.4%

Landmark 15 changed the 2026 RIZIN picture substantially. Favorites entered the event down more than five units for the year, but their 10-1 night cut that loss to 1.76 units. Underdogs, which had been profitable before the card, fell to -5.32 units for the year after losing 10 of 11 fights.

The biggest post-event division updates include Men’s Flyweight Overs at 29-9 for +9.70 units and +25.5% ROI since 2024, Men’s Catchweight Overs at 9-5 for +6.01 units and +42.9% ROI since 2025, and Lightweight favorites at 8-1 for +2.47 units and +27.4% ROI in 2026.

Danny Sabatello def. Jinnosuke Kashimura

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Sabatello (-560) KO, Round 3, 0:40	Sabatello by KO/TKO (+282)	Under 2.5 (+224)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Sabatello delivered one of the strongest pre-event betting results on the card, cashing as the -560 favorite and stopping Kashimura in the third round. The fight also cashed the Under 2.5 at +224.

Karshyga Dautbek def. Kyohei Hagiwara

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Dautbek (-670) TKO, Round 1, 4:08	Dautbek by KO/TKO (-101)	Under 1.5 (-137)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Dautbek cashed as the biggest favorite on the card and finished Hagiwara late in the opening round. The Under 1.5 also cashed at -137.

Yrysbek Tilenov def. Shinobu Ota

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Tilenov (-180) TKO, Round 2, 3:04	Tilenov by KO/TKO (+210)	Under 2.5 (-101)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Erson Yamamoto def. Hiroya Kondo

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Yamamoto (-150) Decision	Yamamoto by Decision (+137)	Over 2.5 (-238)	Fight Goes Distance

The Over extended the strongest sustained division totals trend in the current RIZIN database. Men’s Flyweight Overs are now 29-9 for +9.70 units and +25.5% ROI since 2024.

Johnny Case def. Tenya Yoshimura

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Case (-180) KO, Round 1, 3:14	Case by KO/TKO (+239)	Under 1.5 (+118)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Case’s first-round knockout pushed RIZIN Lightweight favorites to 8-1 in 2026 for +2.47 units and +27.4% ROI.

Saori Oshima def. Ye Ji Lee

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Oshima (-160) Submission, Round 1, 1:40	Oshima by Submission (+547)	Under 1.5 (+298)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Oshima’s submission improved Women’s Atomweight favorites to 13-2 for +1.43 units and +9.5% ROI since 2024. The Under 1.5 returned +298.

Si Woo Park def. Moeri Suda

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Park (-250) Decision	Park by Decision (-147)	Over 2.5 (-500)	Fight Goes Distance

Shoji Maruyama def. Genji Umeno

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Maruyama (+160) Decision	Maruyama by Decision (+290)	Over 1.5 (-200)	Fight Goes Distance

Maruyama was the only underdog winner on the 11-fight card. His +160 decision win moved Men’s Catchweight underdogs to 8-9 for +3.24 units and +19.1% ROI since 2024.

Hiroaki Suzuki def. Hyuga Miyagawa

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Suzuki (-140) KO, Round 2, 3:29	Suzuki by KO/TKO (+337)	Under 2.5 (+155)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Yota Rice Hayashi def. Shinji Sasaki

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Hayashi (-230) TKO, Round 3, 2:17	Hayashi by KO/TKO (+164)	Under 2.5 (-119)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Hayashi’s win moved the small RIZIN Men’s Welterweight favorite sample to 2-0 for +0.83 units and +41.7% ROI since 2024.

Hinotori def. Jae Hun Lee

Result	Method Prop	Total Rounds	Distance Result
Hinotori (-300) KO, Round 3, 4:25	Hinotori by KO/TKO (+168)	Over 1.5 (-143)	Fight Does Not Go Distance

Hinotori’s late third-round knockout gave the Flyweight Over another win and helped push the 2026 division mark to 7-2 for +1.50 units and +16.7% ROI.

RIZIN Landmark 15 Results Summary

RIZIN Landmark 15 was a dominant night for favorites, but the most profitable broad market was the Under. The card also strengthened several division-level trends, including Flyweight Overs, Lightweight favorites and Catchweight Overs.

Closing odds are based on the tracked RIZIN database market sources. Historical betting results do not guarantee future outcomes.