2026 UFC betting trends: Overs are 168-126-2 for +15.55 units and +5.3% ROI through July 25, while favorites are 206-85-5 for +11.57 units and +3.9% ROI.
2026 UFC Betting Trends at a Glance
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 206-85-5 | +11.57 | +3.9% |
| Underdogs | 85-206-5 | -59.81 | -20.2% |
| Over | 168-126-2 | +15.55 | +5.3% |
| Under | 126-168-2 | -57.49 | -19.4% |
| Goes Distance | 137-157-2 | -26.66 | -9.0% |
| No Distance | 157-137-2 | -4.19 | -1.4% |
Overs have produced the strongest promotion-wide return in the ratified 2026 sample. They are 168-126 with two pushes for +15.55 units and +5.3% ROI across all 296 completed fights.
Favorites are also profitable at 206-85 with five pushes for +11.57 units and +3.9% ROI. Underdogs have lost 59.81 units, while both distance sides are negative across the full population.
Overs Lead the 2026 UFC Results
The Over has cashed in 168 of 294 decided totals, with two pushes. The Under is 126-168-2 for -57.49 units and -19.4% ROI. These records use every settled 2026 fight rather than a smaller internal review subset.
Favorites Have Returned a Modest Profit
Favorites have won 206 fights, lost 85 and pushed five for +11.57 units. The +3.9% ROI is positive but much smaller than the win-rate gap suggests because many winning favorites closed at short prices.
Distance Markets Are Negative Overall
Goes Distance is 137-157-2 for -26.66 units and -9.0% ROI. No Distance is 157-137-2 but still lost 4.19 units, a -1.4% return. The stronger division-specific distance results are concentrated rather than promotion-wide.
Best 2026 UFC Betting Trends by Division
| Division | Top 2026 Trend | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Heavyweight | No Distance | 20-4 | +15.91 | +66.3% |
| Women’s Flyweight | Over | 7-3 | +4.83 | +48.3% |
| Heavyweight | Goes Distance | 10-13 | +10.94 | +47.6% |
| Men’s Flyweight | Over | 16-6-2 | +7.26 | +30.2% |
| Women’s Strawweight | Favorites | 12-2 | +4.13 | +29.5% |
| Lightweight | No Distance | 23-10 | +9.63 | +29.2% |
Light Heavyweight No Distance is the strongest established division result at 20-4 for +15.91 units and +66.3% ROI. Women’s Flyweight Overs are 7-3 for +4.83 units and +48.3% ROI, while Heavyweight Goes Distance is 10-13 for +10.94 units and +47.6% ROI.
2026 UFC Betting Trends Summary
Overs and favorites are the two profitable promotion-wide markets through July 25. The most profitable division results are Light Heavyweight No Distance, Women’s Flyweight Over and Heavyweight Goes Distance.
Analysis Period: January 1 through July 25, 2026
296 completed UFC fights tracked across all six settled markets.
Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Combat Odds 