UFC Heavyweight betting trends: Goes Distance leads the certified 2022-2026 market-specific sample at 64-86-2 for +46.63 units and +30.7% ROI across 152 graded bets.
Top Performer: Goes Distance
64-86-2 across 152 graded Heavyweight bets
Moneyline Performance Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 114-46-3 | +6.89 | +4.2% | 163 | 100.0% |
| Underdogs | 46-114-3 | -53.97 | -33.1% | 163 | 100.0% |
Favorites are 114-46-3 for +6.89 units and +4.2% ROI. Underdogs are 46-114-3 for -53.97 units and -33.1% ROI.
Proposition Betting Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 75-69-2 | -2.17 | -1.5% | 146 | 89.6% |
| Under | 69-75-2 | -18.26 | -12.5% | 146 | 89.6% |
| Goes Distance | 64-86-2 | +46.63 | +30.7% | 152 | 93.3% |
| No Distance | 86-64-2 | -16.53 | -10.9% | 152 | 93.3% |
Goes Distance is the strongest cumulative result at 64-86-2 for +46.63 units and +30.7% ROI. Favorites ranks second at +4.2% ROI across 163 graded bets.
Coverage is market-specific. A fight is counted only when the promoted canonical marks that market approved for use; missing prices are not inferred or substituted.
Heavyweight Betting Trends by Year
| Year | Favorite ROI | Dog ROI | Over ROI | Under ROI | Distance ROI | No Distance ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | +6.7% (36) | -19.9% (36) | -7.4% (36) | -12.7% (36) | +12.9% (36) | -4.9% (36) |
| 2023 | +18.7% (35) | -53.1% (35) | -6.8% (35) | -11.6% (35) | +29.9% (35) | -15.0% (35) |
| 2024 | -4.4% (33) | -45.3% (33) | +11.9% (33) | -26.8% (33) | +59.1% (33) | -18.5% (33) |
| 2025 | +0.6% (36) | -22.0% (36) | -2.5% (36) | -5.6% (36) | +46.5% (36) | -20.5% (36) |
| 2026 YTD | -3.6% (23) | -23.3% (23) | -3.0% (6) | +20.2% (6) | -39.2% (12) | +33.2% (12) |
The cumulative division population contains 163 completed fights from 2022 through July 25, 2026: 36 in 2022 • 35 in 2023 • 33 in 2024 • 36 in 2025 • 23 in 2026 through July 25. The number in parentheses beside each yearly ROI is the market-specific eligible sample.
Performance Summary
The top cumulative UFC Heavyweight market is Goes Distance: 64-86-2 for +46.63 units and +30.7% ROI. The second-highest displayed return is Favorites at +4.2% ROI.
Analysis Period: January 1, 2022 through July 25, 2026
163 completed UFC Heavyweight fights • 36 in 2022 • 35 in 2023 • 33 in 2024 • 36 in 2025 • 23 in 2026 through July 25
ROI uses only market-specific rows whose verified-use control is true. Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Combat Odds 