UFC Middleweight betting trends: No Distance leads the certified 2022-2026 market-specific sample at 157-105-5 for +9.88 units and +3.7% ROI across 267 graded bets.
Top Performer: No Distance
157-105-5 across 267 graded Middleweight bets
Moneyline Performance Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | 194-83-6 | +3.25 | +1.1% | 283 | 100.0% |
| Underdogs | 83-195-5 | -62.13 | -22.0% | 283 | 100.0% |
Favorites are 194-83-6 for +3.25 units and +1.1% ROI. Underdogs are 83-195-5 for -62.13 units and -22.0% ROI.
Proposition Betting Analysis
| Bet Type | Record | Units | ROI | Sample | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 130-114-5 | -1.94 | -0.8% | 249 | 88.0% |
| Under | 114-130-5 | -22.97 | -9.2% | 249 | 88.0% |
| Goes Distance | 105-157-5 | -9.92 | -3.7% | 267 | 94.3% |
| No Distance | 157-105-5 | +9.88 | +3.7% | 267 | 94.3% |
No Distance is the strongest cumulative result at 157-105-5 for +9.88 units and +3.7% ROI. Favorites ranks second at +1.1% ROI across 283 graded bets.
Coverage is market-specific. A fight is counted only when the promoted canonical marks that market approved for use; missing prices are not inferred or substituted.
Middleweight Betting Trends by Year
| Year | Favorite ROI | Dog ROI | Over ROI | Under ROI | Distance ROI | No Distance ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -5.7% (64) | -6.6% (64) | +3.4% (64) | -8.8% (64) | +8.7% (64) | -2.3% (64) |
| 2023 | -3.8% (53) | +0.9% (53) | -3.5% (53) | -14.1% (53) | -34.9% (53) | +19.1% (53) |
| 2024 | +14.7% (59) | -64.5% (59) | +6.1% (59) | -11.6% (59) | +10.1% (59) | +4.3% (59) |
| 2025 | -2.1% (69) | -16.8% (69) | -7.3% (69) | -3.9% (69) | -4.3% (69) | -3.1% (69) |
| 2026 YTD | +4.4% (38) | -23.2% (38) | -19.7% (4) | -8.6% (4) | +0.2% (22) | +3.7% (22) |
The cumulative division population contains 283 completed fights from 2022 through July 25, 2026: 64 in 2022 • 53 in 2023 • 59 in 2024 • 69 in 2025 • 38 in 2026 through July 25. The number in parentheses beside each yearly ROI is the market-specific eligible sample.
Performance Summary
The top cumulative UFC Middleweight market is No Distance: 157-105-5 for +9.88 units and +3.7% ROI. The second-highest displayed return is Favorites at +1.1% ROI.
Analysis Period: January 1, 2022 through July 25, 2026
283 completed UFC Middleweight fights • 64 in 2022 • 53 in 2023 • 59 in 2024 • 69 in 2025 • 38 in 2026 through July 25
ROI uses only market-specific rows whose verified-use control is true. Historical results do not guarantee future outcomes.
Combat Odds 