RIZIN Landmark 15 Predictions: Full Card Odds & Betting Trends

RIZIN Landmark 15 Predictions – Full Card Odds & Betting Trends: Danny Sabatello and Karshyga Dautbek stand out as the strongest betting plays on the card, while several other fights offer intriguing underdog and totals trends. Sabatello has been one of the most profitable fighters to back in the current RIZIN sample, while Dautbek enters a featherweight matchup where his individual betting history has been much stronger than the broader division trend.

RIZIN Landmark 15 in Hiroshima features a deep MMA card across bantamweight, featherweight, flyweight, lightweight, atomweight, catchweight and welterweight. Below, we break down the current odds, the strongest historical betting trends and the best angles on the full card.

RIZIN Landmark 15 Odds

RIZIN Betting Trends Entering Landmark 15

The RIZIN betting market has changed dramatically since 2024. Favorites dominated that season, going 73-10 for +32.32 units and +38.9% ROI, while underdogs went 10-73 for -51.04 units. Since the beginning of 2025, the script has flipped.

RIZIN underdogs have gone 54-89 since 2025 and still returned +11.18 units with +7.8% ROI. Favorites have gone 89-54 over the same stretch but lost 15.59 units. Overs have also been profitable, going 93-50 for +19.64 units and +13.7% ROI.

RIZIN Since 2025	Record	Profit	ROI
Underdogs	54-89	+11.18u	+7.8%
Favorites	89-54	-15.59u	-10.9%
Over	93-50	+19.64u	+13.7%
Under	50-93	-52.40u	-36.6%

Those numbers do not mean every underdog or every Over is worth betting, but they are important context for a Landmark 15 card that includes several strong division-level trends.

Danny Sabatello vs Jinnosuke Kashimura Odds

Bantamweight	Danny Sabatello	Jinnosuke Kashimura
Moneyline	-560	+350
Best Bet	Sabatello Moneyline	–

Danny Sabatello is the strongest betting play on the Landmark 15 card. Sabatello has produced a strong return across his recent RIZIN appearances and has been particularly profitable when winning by decision.

Sabatello has gone 3-1 on the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop in his tracked RIZIN fights, returning +57.3% ROI. He has gone just 1-3 when backed inside the distance, making the decision route the much stronger historical outcome.

Danny Sabatello: RIZIN Betting Trends

Betting Trend	Record	ROI
to Win by Decision	3-1	+57.3%
to Win Inside the Distance	1-3	-9.9%
Opponent to Win Inside the Distance	0-4	-100%
Opponent to Win by Decision	0-4	-100%

Based on the betting trends, Sabatello’s moneyline is the strongest side on the card. The -560 price will be too steep for many bettors, but his historical results separate him from the other heavy favorites at Landmark 15. His decision prop is also worth watching once method-of-victory odds are available.

Karshyga Dautbek vs Kyohei Hagiwara Odds

Featherweight	Karshyga Dautbek	Kyohei Hagiwara
Moneyline	-670	+400
Best Bet	Dautbek Moneyline	–

Karshyga Dautbek is the second strongest favorite on the card. That is notable because RIZIN Featherweight has generally been a strong underdog division since 2025, with dogs going 14-19 for +7.88 units and +23.9% ROI.

Dautbek has been strong enough individually to overcome that broader division trend. He has gone 2-2 on both his inside-the-distance and decision props in the tracked sample, returning positive ROI on both markets.

Dautbek and Hagiwara: Betting Trends

Fighter / Trend	Record	ROI
Dautbek to Win Inside the Distance	2-2	+19.0%
Dautbek to Win by Decision	2-2	+36.3%
Hagiwara to Win Inside the Distance	2-3	+3.4%
Hagiwara to Win by Decision	0-5	-100%

Based on the betting trends, Dautbek is the preferred side despite the expensive -670 price. Hagiwara has never cashed the decision prop in five tracked RIZIN fights, while Dautbek has shown multiple profitable paths to victory.

Shinobu Ota vs Yrysbek Tilenov Odds

Shinobu Ota is the most interesting underdog on the main card at +130 against Yrysbek Tilenov. RIZIN Bantamweight underdogs have returned +11.5% ROI since 2025, and the 2026 sample has been even stronger.

Ota’s own RIZIN betting history is mixed, with one inside-the-distance win and one decision win across four tracked fights. The underdog price makes him worth a look, but this is a much thinner betting angle than Sabatello or Dautbek.

Prediction: Shinobu Ota is the underdog lean at +130.

Hiroya Kondo vs Erson Yamamoto Predictions

The strongest trend in this flyweight matchup points to the Over. RIZIN Men’s Flyweight Overs have gone 27-9 since 2024 for +8.58 units and +23.8% ROI. Since 2025, the Over is 20-5 in the division for +5.70 units and +22.8% ROI.

Hiroya and Erson have both produced mixed individual method results, but the broader division trend has been remarkably consistent compared with most RIZIN totals markets.

Prediction: Over is the preferred betting trend in Hiroya Kondo vs Erson Yamamoto.

Johnny Case vs Tenya Yoshimura Predictions

Johnny Case is a -180 favorite against Tenya Yoshimura, but both fighters have limited recent RIZIN betting history. Case has one resolved qualifying fight in the current sample, while Tenya also has one.

RIZIN Lightweight has been one of the promotion’s most volatile betting divisions. Favorites dominated in 2024, underdogs flipped the market in 2025 and favorites have come back strongly in 2026. Since 2025, lightweight underdogs are only 7-15 but have still returned +5.25 units and +23.9% ROI.

Prediction: Slight lean to Johnny Case, but the division history makes -180 a less attractive price than it first appears.

Saori Oshima vs Ye Ji Lee Predictions

Saori Oshima is a -160 favorite against Ye Ji Lee. Oshima has three resolved RIZIN fights in the current sample, while Lee has no prior qualifying result in the 2024-2026 window.

The atomweight sample is much smaller than the major men’s divisions, but Oshima’s recent history makes her the preferred side at a more reasonable price than the two heavy favorites at the top of the card.

Prediction: Saori Oshima moneyline lean at -160.

Si Woo Park vs Moeri Suda Predictions

Si Woo Park is a -250 favorite against Moeri Suda, but there is not enough recent RIZIN betting history to justify laying the heavy price based on trends alone. Park has no qualifying result in the current 2024-2026 database, while Suda has only one.

Prediction: Pass at the current price.

Shoji Maruyama vs Genji Umeno Predictions

The Over is the most interesting angle in Shoji Maruyama vs Genji Umeno. RIZIN Catchweight Overs have gone 8-5 since 2025 for +5.51 units and +42.4% ROI.

The sample is not large, but the catchweight total has been one of the strongest recent RIZIN division trends. Shoji has only one resolved qualifying RIZIN fight in the current window, while Umeno has three MMA fights in the database.

Prediction: Over lean in Shoji Maruyama vs Genji Umeno.

Hiroaki Suzuki vs Hyuga Miyagawa Predictions

Hiroaki Suzuki has one of the deepest RIZIN histories on the card with six resolved fights in the current sample. His individual betting results have been unusual, with the inside-the-distance prop going just 1-5 but still returning +86.5% ROI because the lone win came at a large price.

The Over is the stronger overall angle in this matchup, although the historical advantage is not as strong as the flyweight or catchweight totals trends elsewhere on the card.

Prediction: Over lean in Hiroaki Suzuki vs Hyuga Miyagawa.

Shinji Sasaki vs Yota Hayashi Predictions

Shinji Sasaki is a +160 underdog against -230 favorite Yota Hayashi, but neither fighter has a prior qualifying RIZIN result in the current 2024-2026 sample. The welterweight division itself also has almost no usable betting history in the database.

Prediction: No strong betting trend.

Hinotori vs Jae Hun Lee Predictions

Odds are not yet available for Hinotori vs Jae Hun Lee, but the division trend makes the Over the market to watch. RIZIN Flyweight Overs have been one of the promotion’s most profitable and consistent totals trends since 2024.

Hinotori has one verified resolved RIZIN fight in the current sample, while Jae Hun Lee has none.

Prediction: Watch the Over when totals odds are posted.

RIZIN Landmark 15 Opening Fight Odds

Opening Fight	Odds	Betting Trend
Namiko Kawabata vs Ayane Hirata	-220 / +175	Pass
Shuichi Kanda vs Shota Nagano	+125 / -162	Kanda Underdog Lean
Takuya Shibamura vs Taisei Mizusugi	-850 / +750	Shibamura Favorite Lean

Shuichi Kanda is the most interesting opening-fight underdog at +125, while Takuya Shibamura has a favorable historical setup but is extremely expensive at -850. Kawabata vs Hirata does not show a strong betting trend at the current price.

Best RIZIN Landmark 15 Bets

Bet	Odds	Betting Trend
Danny Sabatello Moneyline	-560	Best Bet
Karshyga Dautbek Moneyline	-670	Best Bet
Shinobu Ota Moneyline	+130	Underdog Lean
Hiroya Kondo vs Erson Yamamoto Over	TBD	Strong Division Trend
Shoji Maruyama vs Genji Umeno Over	TBD	Strong Division Trend
Hiroaki Suzuki vs Hyuga Miyagawa Over	TBD	Lean

RIZIN Landmark 15 Predictions

Based on the betting trends, Danny Sabatello and Karshyga Dautbek are the two strongest sides on the Landmark 15 card. Both come with extremely expensive moneyline prices, but their individual RIZIN betting histories stand out from the other favorites on the event.

Shinobu Ota is the underdog to watch at +130, while the best totals trends point toward the Over in Hiroya Kondo vs Erson Yamamoto and Shoji Maruyama vs Genji Umeno. The Over in Hiroaki Suzuki vs Hyuga Miyagawa is a smaller lean.

The broader RIZIN market has rewarded underdogs since 2025, but the strongest individual betting trends on this particular card still belong to Sabatello and Dautbek.

Odds are snapshots and may move before fight time. Historical betting results do not guarantee future outcomes.